Drug boats from Venezuela are primarily transferring cocaine to Europe — not fentanyl to the U.S., consultants say

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President Donald Trump and his Pentagon chief say U.S. navy strikes on suspected drug boats in waters off Latin America are saving lives by stopping narcotics from reaching America’s shores.

However drug cartels working vessels within the Caribbean, the place roughly 50% of the airstrikes have taken place, are primarily transferring cocaine from South America to Europe — to not america, in accordance with present and former U.S. legislation enforcement and navy officers in addition to narcotics consultants. And the deadliest drug of all, fentanyl, is nearly solely smuggled over land from Mexico, the officers and consultants say.

The realities of the drug commerce in Latin America name into query a part of the administration’s said rationale for its unprecedented navy marketing campaign towards suspected narcotics smuggling boats, and whether or not it’ll have any vital impact on the provision of narcotics in america, in accordance with the officers and consultants.

“Fentanyl just isn’t popping out of Venezuela. Fentanyl comes from Mexico,” stated Christopher Hernandez-Roy, a senior fellow on the Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research assume tank in Washington. “What’s popping out of Venezuela is cocaine.”

And most of that cocaine is now not headed to the U.S., in accordance with Hernandez-Roy, who co-authored a 2023 report on the topic.

The cocaine market in Europe has “exploded” lately, he stated, as a result of it’s “extra profitable and there’s much less of an opportunity, a minimum of at some ranges of the provision chain, of dealing with jail time.”

A U.S. official with experience on counternarcotics efforts provided the same evaluation, saying cocaine accounts for about 90% of the medicine coming from Venezuela and is “nearly all destined for Europe.”

White Home spokeswoman Anna Kelly responded in an announcement.

“All of those decisive strikes have been towards designated narcoterrorists bringing lethal poison to our shores, and the President will proceed to make use of each ingredient of American energy to cease medicine from flooding into our nation and to convey these accountable to justice,” Kelly stated.

Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell stated “our intelligence did certainly affirm these boats have been trafficking narcotics destined for America.”

“That very same intelligence additionally confirms that the people concerned in these drug operations have been narco-terrorists, and we stand by that evaluation,” he added.

Since Sept. 2, the U.S. navy has carried out 21 deadly strikes on boats that the administration says are ferrying narcotics, killing greater than 80 individuals, in accordance with the Pentagon.

A video Protection Secretary Pete Hegseth posted on X reportedly reveals U.S. navy forces conducting a strike on a vessel within the Caribbean Sea on Oct. 23.Protection Secretary Pete Hegseth through AFP – Getty Photos

The administration has come beneath criticism at residence and overseas over the legality of the boat strikes, with lawmakers from each events expressing considerations that the assaults violate U.S. and worldwide legislation. Some NATO allies have distanced themselves from the strikes and the UK has withheld related intelligence on Latin American drug smuggling at sea over considerations the marketing campaign could also be unlawful, NBC Information has beforehand reported.

The Trump administration has defended the aerial assaults as a authorized motion towards a risk to nationwide safety and an efficient strategy to combating narco-traffickers.

Trump has stated every boat sunk by the U.S. navy saves “25,000 lives” by stopping fentanyl and different narcotics from reaching U.S. shores. And in a social media publish earlier this month, Protection Secretary Pete Hegseth stated the U.S. navy would “discover and terminate EVERY vessel with the intention of trafficking medicine to America to poison our residents.”

Rahul Gupta, who served as director of the White Home Workplace of Nationwide Drug Management Coverage within the Biden administration, stated a lot of the trafficking boats within the Caribbean are carrying cocaine certain for Europe, and the individuals on board are usually younger and determined for work.

“They’re recruiting younger individuals, impressionable younger individuals, to allow them to do these runs for $100, $500, $1,000 backwards and forwards,” Gupta stated.

The drug runners at sea are sometimes between 15 and 24 years previous and the cartel management views them as expendable, Gupta stated. For the cartels, “there isn’t any message being despatched as a result of they actually don’t care about these individuals,” he stated.

‘Go quick’ boats

Over the previous a number of years, fentanyl and different artificial opioids have accounted for the overwhelming majority of overdose deaths within the U.S. In 2023, roughly 77,000 People died from artificial opioids, primarily fentanyl, which accounted for 76% of all overdose deaths, in accordance with the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention.

Extremely highly effective however simply hid, fentanyl is generally transported not by boat within the Caribbean however over land throughout the U.S.-Mexico border, in accordance with consultants and U.S. authorities studies.

Cocaine largely arrives to the nation on boats that pace throughout the Pacific and originate from Colombia or Ecuador.

A black and white video still of a target on a boat
A vessel within the japanese Pacific moments earlier than a U.S. strike on Nov. 15.U.S. Southern Command

Trump has ordered a buildup of U.S. forces as a part of his marketing campaign towards Latin American drug cartels, with an plane provider and different warships and plane deployed within the Caribbean. However there isn’t any related naval buildup on the western aspect of South America within the japanese Pacific, the primary route for cocaine into america.

Drug runners from Venezuela sometimes take 60-foot “go quick” boats to a cease within the Caribbean, the place the cargo is transferred to bigger freighters and shipped on to European ports, typically through West Africa, the officers and consultants say. Smaller quantities are smuggled aboard business airliners by human “mules.”

One widespread route has the smugglers heading to Trinidad and Tobago, a brief, 7-mile boat trip from the Venezuelan coast, in accordance with the officers and consultants.

The traffickers make the most of uninhabited islands and European abroad territories within the Caribbean. The British, French and Dutch islands provide direct air and maritime routes to Europe and have business and familial ties to the European continent.

A kilogram of cocaine prices about $28,000 in america, however the identical quantity fetches roughly $40,000 on common in Europe and as a lot as $80,000 in some European international locations, in accordance with a report funded by the Norwegian authorities.

William Baumgartner, a retired Coast Guard rear admiral and former chief counsel to the service, stated the strikes within the Caribbean will doubtless haven’t any main impact on the circulation of fentanyl into america.

“These boats don’t carry fentanyl. They’re carrying cocaine,” Baumgartner informed reporters in a digital briefing final week.

Baumgartner and different former navy and legislation enforcement officers say the deadly strikes additionally deprive america of priceless intelligence in regards to the cartel networks and their operations, as there isn’t any alternative to gather forensic proof from seized narcotics or interrogate the smugglers.

“Most of our intelligence comes from those who we seize on these vessels,” Baumgartner stated. But when the U.S. kills or repatriates the individuals on board, “we really harm ourselves and our effectiveness in the long run,” he stated.

Previous counternarcotics efforts have usually merely compelled the cartels to adapt and reconfigure their smuggling routes, consultants stated.

Vanda Felbab-Brown, a senior fellow on the Brookings Establishment, stated the U.S. navy strikes within the Caribbean have been concentrating on boats that just about definitely have been ferrying cocaine to Europe, and wouldn’t have an effect on the huge drug downside in america. The assaults doubtless won’t deter the cartels however solely immediate them to decide on totally different routes or strategies, because the potential revenue continues to supply a robust incentive to maintain smuggling, Felbab-Brown stated.

Gupta, the previous drug coverage chief, stated the administration’s strategy amounted to a tactic and not using a technique, with little prospect for achievement provided that there are dozens of drug smuggling boats within the Caribbean on any given day.

The strikes are “symbolic,” Gupta stated. “However symbolism isn’t going to deal with individuals with habit. Symbolism isn’t going to dismantle cartels, their logistics community, their approach to become profitable, their entire system that’s there.”

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